江淮气旋大风预报研究

江淮气旋大风预报研究的结果表明：气旋大风的预报实际上就是冷空气南下造成地面加压与气旋东移造成地面降压，这两个因素所造成气压梯度发展变化地以预报。还介绍用天气学原理建立的大风预报模式，以及用数理统计方法判别有无强风的预报，经过历史拟合和试报，在预报气旋大风中有一定的准确性。     

The association of the population recruitment of gulf menhaden, Brevoortia patronus, with Mississippi River discharge

Gulf menhaden, Brevoortia patronus, which constitutes a major industrial reduction fishery in the USA, spawn across the northern Gulf of Mexico with a focus of spawning about the Mississippi Delta. This species is estuarine dependent; adults spawn over the continental shelf and their larvae are transported, by mechanisms that are presently not well understood, to estuarine nursery areas. Larval gulf menhaden, along with some other surface oriented larval fishes, appear to aggregate along the Mississippi River plume front, while evidence of the ecological consequences of this aggregation in terms of the feeding, growth, and survival of larvae is ambiguous. On an annual scale, Mississippi River discharge is negatively associated with numbers of half year old recruits. Discharge of the Mississippi River and the population recruitment of gulf menhaden may be plausibly linked through the action of the river's plume and its front on the shoreward transport of larvae. Greater river discharge results in an expansive plume that might project larvae farther offshore and prolong the shoreward transport of larvae. An indirect, decadal scale, positive response of recruitment and river discharge is possible, but not certain. Recruitment became elevated after 1975 when river discharge increased and became highly variable. This response might owe to enhanced primary and secondary production driven by nutrient influx from the Mississippi River.     

永磁同步电机不同工况下定转子铁耗分析

永磁电机在不同的工况下产生的铁耗大小不尽相同.采用采样得到的驱动器供电下永磁电机实际电流作为激励,对电机进行二维有限元计算,分别获得了工作于空载、最大转矩电流比控制及弱磁不同工况下的磁密波形,进而计算铁耗.分别计算了12槽8极(分数槽)的试样永磁电机及24槽8极(整数槽)电机工作在不同工况下铁耗.通过二者比较分析铁耗产生的原因,经过与试验对比,结果表明该计算方式有较高的准确性,可以用于分析电机铁耗产生的原因及指导高效率电机的设计.     

强风区铁路风沙防治工程最大输沙量与携沙风荷载计算方法

针对强风区铁路风沙流灾害防治工程,开展最大输沙量和强风携沙风荷载2个最关键工程计算问题的研究。结合现场踏勘资料与测试数据,分析风向、风力和持续时间3个影响因素对最大输沙量矢量合成与计算的控制影响,基于优势强风流理论,归纳给出信风型、季风型和对流型3种典型工程风型的输沙量计算方法,并且为准确采集沙样数据,专门设计出能随主风向自动转动的野外自动风导向积沙仪。基于现场测试数据,根据相似准则与量纲和谐原理,推导强风区携沙风单位体积沙砾颗粒流体平均飞跃速度计算公式,用于强风区携沙风冲击荷载计算,计算结果符合工程实际,满足工程计算要求。     

电源频率对三相交流异步牵引电动机影响的探讨

通过对三相异步牵引电动机的特点,结构,参数的分析,结合异步动机用于机车做为牵引动力的特定工况,提出了在同一转差率下,低频区电动机输出转矩下降,机械特性变软的问题,从理论上分析了问题产生的原因,并针对这两个问题提出了作者的看法。     

Uncertain demand,modal competition and optimal price-capacity adjustments in air transportation

A new microeconomic model for the operation of an airline facing modal competition with uncertain total demand is developed to analyze optimal price capacity combinations. The novelty is the treatment of the capacity restriction, which is not viewed as affecting negatively individual preferences (e.g. probability of a full flight), but does influence aggregate utility. A mode choice model is used to represent unrestricted individual preferences assuming full availability (phone call demand); air capacity is treated as a variable that acts on the actual choice set. Restricted choices and total demand stochasticity are integrated in welfare calculations (users' benefits and profits). Numerical examples are given and results are analyzed in terms of load factors fare levels, and sensitivity to the stochasticity of requests.This research was partially funded by FONDECYT, Chile, Direction Génerale de l'Aviation Civile, France, the Andes Foundation and the Fulbright Commission.     

沥青混合料最大理论密度的计算

通过对矿质集料的物理状态及其在混合料中存在方式进行分析,探讨了沥青混合料最大理论密度计算中矿料密度的引用及其影响.     

公路雨水口篦子泄水量试验研究

雨水口篦子泄水量是雨水口泄水能力好坏的关键因素 ,其设置的好坏直接影响道路路面排水效果。通过水工模型试验研究了不同型式的篦子在不同上游来水流量以及不同纵坡条件下的泄水量 ,最后对雨水口篦子型式的选择提出了推荐方案 ,并对篦子的安装和维护提出了应注意的事项     

江苏省交通事故时间分布分析

根据江苏省有关交通事故数据,利用统计方法对交通事故发生的时间特征进行分析。通过分析交通事故年时间分布规律的波峰曲线,得出江苏省交通事故发生数量开始振荡变化,逐年上升的势头有望于近期遏制。通过分析交通事故、月、周、小时时间分布曲线,得出交通事故高峰小时出现在交通量高峰小时之后的9~12h、14~16h,两者不重合。死亡高峰时段(危险时段)多发生在18~21h的3h内。研究结论对不同时间内如何采取不同的安全对策来降低江苏省交通事故具有指导作用。     

内河航道桥梁船撞时船体最大变形量研究

目前在桥梁船撞防护的专项设计或船撞力专题研究中,对船舶撞击力的研究和桥梁在船舶撞击作用下的响应关注较多,而对船体最大变形量的研究较少。基于ANSYSLS-DYNA软件,对4种不同载质量的内河代表船舶在3种航速、2种碰撞角度下撞击4种墩型的船撞工况进行数值模拟,提取船体最大变形量,并分析船体最大变形量与船舶载质量、撞击速度、桥墩类型及撞击角度的关联性,同时与经验公式做对比。研究结果表明,撞击速度及撞击角度是船体最大变形量的主要控制因素,桥墩类型与之关系不明显。